Albany, NY -- (SBWIRE) -- 02/14/2014 -- It was a good Christmas and everything suggests that the strong retail trend will continue through 2014. And yet everything is built on expectations that could easily be disappointed. The income squeeze is as bad as ever and we need to see that disappear if Christmas 2014 is to be as good as Christmas 2013. Looking beyond the election in 2015, there is the threat of rising interest rates. The worst of the downturn should now be over for consumers, but it is hard to foresee any strong recovery until we reach the run up to the 2020 election.

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary

The market
What sort of Christmas was it?
Figure 1: “How do you feel about your financial prospects, 2009-14
Figure 2: Average weekly earnings and the retail prices index, 2008-13
Winners and losers
Online continues to gain share of retail sales

Issues in the Market

Was demand over Christmas soundly based?
‘It was a Christmas of extremes’, but what were the key factors behind success and failure?
Is online maturing?
Pure players or Multi-channel?
The recovery – pattern of demand this year – leisure vs retail

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Trend Applications

Trend: Life Hacking
Trend: Help Me Help Myself
Mintel Futures: Access Anything Anywhere

Christmas 2013 Sector Overview

Key points
Sector performance
Figure 18: Retail performance by sector, December 2013

Online

Key points
Rising share
Figure 19: Online sales as a percentage of all retail sales by month, 2007-13
Christmas - Online sales by sector
Figure 20: Online sales by broad sector, December 2013
Figure 21: Online sales in December as % total 2013 sales, by sector, December 2013

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Retail Sector Performance

Key points
Food retailers
Sector sales benchmark:
Figure 23: Food retailers, performance, Christmas 2013
Clothing and footwear
Sector sales benchmark

Retail Sector Performance

Key points
Food retailers
Sector sales benchmark:
Figure 23: Food retailers, performance, Christmas 2013
Clothing and footwear
Sector sales benchmark
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