Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 09/09/2014 -- Egypt's huge and expanding population, together with increasing levels of disposable income, should result in a strong rise in household spending over the next few years, although the continuing political unrest could dent retail prospects. The Egyptian retail sector is set to continue to grow across all subsectors. We are particularly positive about the future growth prospects for the health, transport and education sectors, with communications also set to grow strongly; however, we expect the highest proportion of the household budget to be spent on food & drink throughout our forecast period, with housing & utilities spending also taking a substantial share.

The Egypt Retail report provides an extensive and comprehensive forecast of various retail indicators including household spending and headline total spending across each retail subsector, household income and employment forecasts, demographic forecasts and a detailed breakdown of household and per capita spending across a large number of retail areas including food and drink, clothing and footwear, household goods and a number of other subsectors.

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Although the Egyptian retail market remains fragmented, dominated by small, family-run shops in highly populated urban areas, the organised retail market has been developing slowly but steadily in recent years as more consumers are converting to modern retail methods. The market share of small neighbourhood outlets is undoubtedly beginning to decline as the modern retail sector grows. With the arrival of mass grocery retail (MGR) in particular, Egyptian consumers have been exposed to a new shopping experience.

In a country in which almost a third of the population is in the 20-39 years age range, important for household spending on the retail sector, large shopping malls are attracting young consumers who aspire to the international brands that are increasingly becoming available. City Stars, which opened in Cairo in 2005, is the largest shopping...

The Egypt Retail Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent assessment and forecasts for the retail sector. The report examines key drivers of retail sales growth and future prospects, including consumer spending and private sector investment.

BMI's Egypt Retail Report also examines the level of development and potential for growth of the retail sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, changing consumer demographics that influence demand and the regulatory environment. Key sub-sectors include mass grocery retail, autos, over-the-counter pharmaceuticals, computers and consumer electronics.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent retail industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Egyptian retail market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Egypt through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI?s key forecasts and industry analysis, plus a discussion of major industry developments and a snapshot of key short-term demand-driving macroeconomic movements.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the retail sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

There are four separate 5-year forecast modules in the retail reports. These are:

Headline Retail Forecast: Total Household Spending, (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, per capita, per household); Spending by Retail Sector for: food and non-alcoholic drink, alcoholic drink, clothing and footwear, housing and utilities, furnishings and home, health, transport, recreation, education, transport, restaurants and hotels, personal care and insurance (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, % of total spending)

Retail Sector Forecast: Breakdown of Food, Non Alcoholic Drink, Alcohol, Tobacco, Clothing, Footwear, Household Goods, Furnishings, Appliances, Glass and Tableware, Household Textiles, Consumer Electronics, Garden Toys and Pets, Home and Garden tools, Personal Care, Personal Effects Spending (US$bn, % Growth);

Household Income and Numbers Forecast: Number of Households (?000,% growth); gross income per household and per capita; net income per household and per capita; tax and social contributions per capita; breakdown of household incomes ? US$5000+, US$10,000+ US$50000+ (?000, % of total); labour force, employment and unemployment (?000, % change)

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