Boston, MA -- (ReleaseWire) -- 03/03/2014 -- The outlook for South Africa's metals industry is increasingly troubled as persistently low output prices, rising energy costs and further intense wage negotiations with unions are set to plague the sector. Metals consumption growth will perform better than production growth, due to solid demand growth from the autos sector. We expect this demand growth to be met in large part by increased imports, as investment in South African production facilities will be held back by the glut of metals, particularly steel, on the world market.
In terms of the domestic market, metals consumption will track broader economic growth in South Africa, which we anticipate to be slow but steady with a modest recovery expected over coming years. We see autos production growth as a key driver of metals consumption. We forecast autos production to grow by an annual average of 2.9% over 2014-2018, while construction industry value will grow by 3.9% y-o-y over the same period.
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