Boston, MA -- (ReleaseWire) -- 07/02/2014 -- Russia's telecoms market is increasingly showing signs of consolidation among the largest four operators and the smaller regional players. As penetration has reached around 170% in the mobile market as of Q114, this allows the major operators to continue to grow subscriber bases where organic growth opportunities are beginning to become saturated. The fixed-line segment is declining at a slower rate than in neighbouring markets and the broadband market has expanded rapidly. Healthy competition and the demand for coverage provide good growth opportunities.
- The mobile market saw an overall net decline of 1.34mn subscribers in Q114, a further sign of slowing growth compared to the 90,000 loss in Q113.
- The latest data release from AC&M Consulting shows there were 23.2mn wireline broadband subscriptions at mid-2013, up by 14.2% y-o-y, as the penetration rate reached 16.5%.
- FTTx subscriptions increased to 3.51mn at the end of September 2013, from 2.51mn a year earlier. Russian pay-TV subscriber base grew by 2% in Q114, totalling 35mn. Penetration of pay-TV services reached 64% during this time, with the seven largest operators accounting for 80% of the market.
- According to MTS' estimates, the market for M2M exceeded 4.8mn SIM cards at the end of 2013, representing about 2% of subscriptions in the Russian mobile market.
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Key Trends And Developments
Rostelecom has completed the first stage of its deal to form a joint venture (JV) with Tele2 Russia in April 2014. The JV will be named as T2 RTK Holding. Under the first stage, Rostelecom has provided the share of its mobile subsidiaries to the venture, with debt obligations of RUB37bn (USD1.03bn) have also been transferred to the JV. The second stage, which will require transferring all of Rostelecom's integrated mobile assets to the JV, is expected to be completed by the end of 2014.
In April 2014, Megafon completed the integration of Scartel and Yota, which it purchased back in...
The Russia Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Russia's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Russia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Russia.
- Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Russia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Russian telecoms market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Russia's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Russia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
Business Environment Ratings
BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.
The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
- Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
- Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
- Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
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