Albany, NY -- (ReleaseWire) -- 06/09/2014 -- OVERVIEW OF THE PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET IN AUSTRALIA
The country's health expenditure will continue to increase with the increasingly ageing population and the need for the government to subsidise more drugs to treat chronic, non-communicable disease. Such a rise in expenditure will attract pharmaceutical firms despite the low growth potential in the developed market. However, given the poor fiscal outlook in the general economy, we believe such a generous healthcare system will be unsustainable over the long term and the country will continue look at cost-cutting measures, negatively affecting the earnings of pharmaceutical firms.
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Headline Expenditure Projections
Pharmaceuticals: AUD12.85bn (US$13.27bn) in 2011 to AUD13.07bn (US$13.59bn) in 2012; +1.6% in local currency terms and +2.4% in US dollar terms due to exchange rate fluctuations. Forecast broadly in line with Q412.
Healthcare: AUD122.27bn (US$126.22bn) in 2011 to AUD127.37bn (US$132.47bn) in 2012; +4.2% in local currency terms and +5.0% in US dollar terms due to exchange rate fluctuations. Forecast broadly in line with previous quarter.
Medical Devices: AUD5.57bn (US$5.75bn) in 2011 to AUD5.82bn (US$6.05bn) in 2012; +4.4% in local currency terms and +5.2% in US dollar terms due to exchange rate fluctuations. Forecast broadly in line with Q412.
In BMI's Q113 Asia Pacific Pharmaceutical and HealthcareRisk/Reward Ratings (RRRs), while Australia's overall RRR score remains 66.2, its ranking has improved from third to second out of the 18 key markets in the region due to the decline in South Korea's RRR. Australia's affluent and increasingly ageing population, coupled with its proper legal framework, will continue to attract pharmaceutical firms to the country. However, profit growth will be limited given that it is a developed market.
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The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.
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