Boston, MA -- (ReleaseWire) -- 07/22/2014 -- The government is taking steps to reduce France's dependence upon nuclear power and had been expected to adopt a law to determine how to do this. This follows on from President Hollande's electoral promise to curb the use of nuclear power. However, non-government bodies, such as the Renewable Energy Syndicate, believe that the government is not moving fast enough to meet its target - that 50% of electricity is generated by non-nuclear sources in 2025. The bill presented in June by Energy and Environment Minister S?gol?ne Royal designed to boost renewable sources suggests nuclear power production will remain capped at 63.2GW, the current levels.
The bill suggests the 50% target will be achieved solely with an increase in renewable energy capacity. Decisions to close reactors will be decided at later dates. The bill's lack of a detailed roadmap to nuclear plants closure confirms that the government's position on nuclear energy continues to be relatively ambiguous, and that President Francois Hollande might backtrack on his promise to reduce the share of nuclear energy to 50% by 2025. So what are the alternatives to nuclear power? Investors are turning away from gas - hydraulic fracturing for shale gas is off the agenda, and problems with LNG supply from Algeria in late 2013, and rising coal imports limit the opportunities here. Whether or not renewable energy can take advantage of the opportunities for investment remains to be seen.
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BMI estimates that French power generation in 2013 climbed to 541.9 terawatt hours (TWh), representing year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 0.6%. Overall thermal generation shrunk by an estimated 0.7% y-o-y, while hydroelectric generation is estimated to have decreased by 0.1%. BMI estimates that the use of non-hydro renewables grew by 6.3% in 2013.
Key T rends A nd D evelopments
- The French government agreed to the introduction of a carbon tax from January 2014. The government aims to raise EUR4bn from the tax by...
The France Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The France Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for France to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks France's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in France
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
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