Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 02/05/2015 -- Ongoing improvement in Egypt's political situation, with the election of President Sisi having brought in a level of stability not seen since 2011, will see the Egyptian freight transport sector enjoy continued expansion in 2015. While this will not be spectacular, we expect positive growth in volumes across all freight modes, supported by an improving consumer outlook, a recovery in the tourism sector, and increased construction. Crucially, the outlook is not only brighter for the near term, with significant investment into tran sport infrastructure ensuring continued growth over future years.

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Headline Industry Data

- Air freight handled at Cairo International Airport is set to grow by 3.0% in 2015 to reach 399,780 tonnes. Over the medium term to 2019, growth will average 4.2% per annum.

- Rail cargo will enjoy expansion of 2.0% in 2015, with growth projected to average 2.5% over the medium term.

- Total tonnage throughput at East Port Said is forecast to grow by 2.8% to 24.46mn tonnes in 2015, and to average 3.8% per annum to 2019.

- Total trade is forecast to see growth in real terms of 3.2% in 2015, picking up in 2016 to 4.7%.

Key Industry Trends

An Improving Economic Outlook Will Boost Activity: We retain our expectation for real GDP growth of 3.0% in FY2015 and 3.8% in FY2016 from an estimated 2.25 in FY2014. Our forecasts are a notable uptick compared with previous years, and this will support growth on the country's freight transport network. Fixed investment in particular is expected to drive economic growth over the next two years, and bulk and project cargos needed for key infrastructure projects will support volume growth through Egypt's ports and on its road and rail networks. The recovering tourism sector will boost volumes of containers and air freight, both through goods needed to serve visitors' needs, but also as Egyptians' spending power increases.

Suez Canal Will Boost Egyptian Volumes: Throughput at the Suez Canal will remain...

The Egypt Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Egypt Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Egyptian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.

- Target business opportunities and risks in the Egyptian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.

- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverag

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI?s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

- Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).

- Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top 5 import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn).

- Port Data: Throughput (?000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.

- Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.

- Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%).

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